13 Nov 2024
Saturday 15 July 2017 - 11:03
Story Code : 268321

New Iranian jobs plan faces major obstacles

Al Monitor | Alireza Ramezani : Irans First Vice President EshaqJahangiri, who also serves as head of the Resistance Economy Command Headquarters, last month unveiled acomprehensive employment planthatenvisions the creation of 971,700 jobs by the end of the current Iranian year (March 20, 2018). This target could be achieved if the allocated 215 trillion rials ($6.6 billion) in credit is secured, and most importantly, if the cost of job creation is significantly cut. Meanwhile, the plan is silent on the ample red tape thatmust be removed for unemployment to decrease.


The latest data released by the Statistical Center of Iran (SCI) put the nationalunemployment ratefor the first (spring) quarter at 12.6%0.4% higher than the same period last year. Labor Minister Ali Rabiei on May 18 warned that unemployment will remain high for thenext several yearsas long as the pace of the development of small businesses remains slow. Of note, the energy sector was the main recipient of investment in the last Iranian calendar year, which ended March 20, without creating a significant numberof jobs.

Indeed, SCI data showthat only615,000 jobswere created in the last Iranian calendar year. This was even though gross domestic product (GDP) grew by a staggering 12.5% during the same perioddue to sanctions relief under the nuclear deal, according to aprimary reportby theCentral Bank. The high GDP growth in the previous Iranian year is mainly attributed to the development of the oil, gas and petrochemical sectors, which experts say create relatively few jobs at a very high cost.

Iran needs to create about 1 million jobs per year to achievesingle digit unemploymentby 2022. Yetofficials hope that employment figures will improve this year following the governments new approach of backing small- and medium-sized businesses as well as science-based companies across the country. The new approach may help cut the cost ofjob creation. If successful, the economy will potentially create more jobs for every percentage point of growth in GDP compared to the previous year.

 

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